Data-Driven Monetization of Acquisition Risk
The current state of practice in program risk assessment relies on the best judgment of program management and systems engineering to identify and qualitatively assess the nature and probability of risks. While there are best practices and lessons learned upon which the risk assessment process can rely, the process is still heavily qualitative and is performed by program management and systems engineering staff that are inherently optimistic about program success. As a result, risks and their consequences are frequently underestimated. We propose a methodology that actively collects, and continuously and quantitatively analyzes, metrics that are earlier indicators of risk than cost and schedule slips. This methodology includes the application of web-based technologies for collection and analysis, a quantified risk cloud and monetized risk thresholds, establishing a readily accessible knowledge base of previous program failures, and new metrics to be collected closer to the source of ri......
, David L.
【关 键 词】: Data-Driven Monetization of Acquisition Risk
【上篇论文】: 外军国防科技报告 - System Definition-Enabled Acquisition (SDEA) A Concept for Defining Requirements for Applying Model-Based Systems Engineering (MBSE) to the Acquisition of DoD Complex Systems
【下篇论文】: 外军国防科技报告 - Capability and Development Risk Management in System-of-Systems Architectures: A Portfolio Approach to Decision-Making